★ wanayoo — archive 1999 http://www.fool.com/duelingfools/2000/duelingfools00092001.htmNouvelle recherche | Portail wanayoo
The Motley Fool Screen Reader Users: press enter to skip navigation.
Home TabsThe Motley FoolDiscussion BoardsQuotes & DataStock ResearchShop FoolmartMy PortfolioMy FoolLogin
Home NavNewsSpecial FeaturesInvesting StrategiesRetirementPersonal FinanceFool's SchoolHelp
CHOOSE A BROKER
Search: 
    Quotes Full Search
FREE NEWSLETTERS
See Latest Stories »
 
Home
News & Commentary
Special Features
Investing Strategies
Retirement
Personal Finance
Fool's School
Fun & Folly
 
Help
Archives

Palm Down
The Bull Argument

By Paul Larson (TMF Parlay)

I recently bought my first personal digital assistant (PDA), and I'm addicted. I carry it around with me everywhere, and it has helped me to keep my hectic life in order. Phone numbers, addresses, meeting times, birthdays -- the list of what I now depend on my PDA for goes on and on. I know I'm not alone in loving my PDA. PDAs are one of those technological inventions that once you start using it, it is hard to imagine life without it.

To be succinct, the PDA industry as a whole has many years of vibrant growth ahead of it, and Palm is positioned to greatly benefit. There are many reasons to like the industry leader, and below are just a few of the larger reasons.

Growth, growth, growth
Estimates for the PDA industry's growth are all over the board, but the one thing they have in common is that they are all very bullish numbers. Annual growth in excess of 50% over the next three years would not be surprising, and the industry should see vibrant double-digit growth beyond that for the foreseeable future.

For Palm itself, the company showed 28.6% sequential -- not annual, sequential -- growth in the most recent quarter when it grew sales from $272.3 million to $350.2 million. This is on top of growing sales some 87.6% in the fiscal year ended in May.

Palm dominates the industry
Palm Computing commands a dominating share of the PDA market. Just under 80% of all PDAs sold today are made by Palm, a simply staggering market share. Actually, sometimes it is hard to tell where the overall industry ends and Palm begins! I also have reason to believe that Palm will continue to own an enormous share of the market, and that reason is the Palm Operating System.

Sustainable advantage -- Palm OS
The primary driver behind Palm's impressive market share and the key to the company's future is the Palm Operating System. It is the de facto standard in the industry, and it has created a huge sustainable competitive advantage for Palm. As the largest operating system in use, it has attracted the greatest number of software developers. There are now literally several thousand applications for the Palm platform, and this attracts consumers to choose the Palm OS over other operating systems such as Microsoft's (Nasdaq: MSFT) Windows CE. It's the network effect at its finest -- a great number of buyers attracts sellers, and vice versa.

Benefit from others' growth
In a smart move, Palm has started to license its Palm OS to other handheld computer makers. So, whenever Handspring (Nasdaq: HAND), Nokia (NYSE: NOK), or Sony (NYSE: SNE) sell a PDA with the Palm OS, Palm gets a small cut of the profit. The best part is this revenue stream costs Palm essentially nothing and is basically pure profit. Palm has said in the future it will focus more on being a software and applications provider, a less capital-intensive business that has extremely high profit margins.

My recent PDA purchase was, in fact, a Handspring Visor. One hundred percent of Handspring's products run the Palm OS, which means a chunk of my purchase price flowed back to Palm.

Extremely strong brand
Even though I am the proud owner of a Handspring Visor, whenever I lose it around the house, I ask my wife, "Honey, have you seen my PalmPilot?" I think this speaks volumes about Palm's brand. Being the first on the market with a truly useful handheld computer has given it a great deal of name recognition.

Lots of ammunition
Thanks to its healthy operating results as well as an enormously successful IPO, Palm has a pristine balance sheet. It has over a billion dollars in cash and has no long-term debt. This gives the company more than enough capital to continue growing its business.

In summary -- lots to like
Between the industry's breakneck growth, Palm's dominating share of the industry, and the company's strong and sustainable competitive advantages thanks to its operating system, there are plenty of reasons to be attracted to Palm. Though I'm sure my fellow Fool Joe disagrees with me....

The Bear Argument »

 This Week's Duel

  • Introduction
  • The Bull Argument
  • The Bear Argument
  • The Bull Rebuttal
  • The Bear Rebuttal
  • Vote Results
  • Flashback: B2B or B2C

     Related Links

  • Palm Discussion Board
  • Palm Snapshot

    Read More Dueling Fools


  • Discount Brokerage Center!


    The secret to a comfortable retirement is smart planning. Start now with our Roadmap to Retirement online seminar.

    News Products
    See the latest on Fiber Optics Stocks

    See the latest on Fiber Optics Stocks

    See other Internet Reports

    Soapbox.com Reports
    Find 10 Secrets to
    Retiring Early
    on Soapbox.com

    Your Tools
    My Fool

    My Portfolio

    My Newsletters

    My Discussion Boards

    My PDA

    Get it Done
    Find a broker

    Is it time to switch brokers?

    Is online trading safe?


    Autobytel

    Wall Street Journal Interactive.


    Investors Business Daily.

    Home | Discussion Boards | Quotes & Data | Stock Research | FoolMart | My Portfolio | My Fool
    News | Special Features | Investing Strategies | Retirement | Personal Finance | Fool's School | Help
     Legal Information. ©1995-2000 The Motley Fool. All rights reserved.
    Archives · Contact Us · Work at the Fool 
      USVAWeb005